MIT Center for Theoretical Physics – a Leinweber Institute

The gluon Collins-Soper kernel, which encodes the rapidity evolution of transverse-momentum-dependent gluon distributions, is constrained for the first time in the nonperturbative regime, for transverse momentum scales $q_{T} \in [ 300\text{ MeV}, 1.3\text{ GeV}]$. The constraints are determined in lattice QCD at a close-to-physical pion mass $M_π= 172(3)\text{ MeV}$, a single lattice spacing $a=0.15\text{ fm}$, and next-to-next-to-leading logarithmic matching in Large-Momentum Effective Theory. These results represent the first step toward a controlled determination of the gluon Collins-Soper kernel in QCD, with eventual phenomenological import and relevance to present and future experiments sensitive to the gluon structure of hadronic matter.

Likelihood-based inference in particle physics, and in the physical sciences more broadly, relies on the assumption that the model accurately describes the data. When the model is misspecified, though, standard confidence intervals shrink to zero width with increasing data, producing overconfident and potentially misleading constraints. We propose the well-tempered likelihood, which divides the likelihood-ratio test statistic by a goodness-of-fit (GOF) statistic evaluated at the best-fit point. Under correct specification, the GOF is $\mathcal{O}(1)$ and standard inference is recovered. Under misspecification, both the likelihood and the GOF scale as $\mathcal{O}(N)$ for $N$ data points, so their ratio remains $\mathcal{O}(1)$ and the resulting well-tempered confidence interval self-limits at a floor determined by the model’s inadequacy, essentially reducing the effective sample size. In other words, \textit{all models are correct, as long as your dataset is small enough}. We present binned and unbinned formulations of the well-tempered likelihood—the latter based on a classifier two-sample test—and demonstrate our method on a Gaussian example and on a measurement of the strong coupling constant using synthetic electron-positron collisions.

We explore the potential of multiple possible future 10 TeV wakefield colliders to measure electroweak couplings of the Higgs boson. We find that the beam-beam interactions are not an impediment to high precision measurements of the Higgs couplings, provided that the luminosity spectra can be measured or calculated to high accuracy. In addition to $e^+ e^-$ colliders, we also assess the effectiveness of alternatives such as $e^- e^-$ colliders or $γγ$ colliders, which by-pass the positron acceleration challenge for wakefield colliders. We find that a 10 $\text{ab}^{-1}$ dataset at a $γγ$ collider yields qualitatively similar sensitivity to 10 $\text{ab}^{-1}$ at a muon collider and 1 $\text{ab}^{-1}$ at an $e^+e^-$ wakefield collider.

We present new \compass high-statistics measurements of the peripheral production of $ηπ^-$ and $η^\prime π^-$ pairs in the reactions $π^- p \to η^{(\prime)}π^- p$. For the first time, we perform an unbinned analysis of the high-mass region of the $ηπ^-$ and $η^\primeπ^-$ systems, which allows us to disentangle the exchange mechanisms governing their production. We report the first observation in high-energy scattering of an exotic Reggeon with high significance exceeding $5\,σ$ for both channels, which is, most likely, related to the exotic $π_1(1600)$.8